Another poll, this time by Sanity Africa, has projected victory for Bernard B. Baidoo, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate in the Akwatia parliamentary by-election scheduled for Tuesday, September 2, 2025.
The survey, conducted between August 1 and August 27, 2025, shows Baidoo leading with 52.3% support among likely voters.
His closest contender, Solomon Asumadu of the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP), polled 47.7%, just 4.6 percentage points behind Baidoo, with less than three days to the election, Citi Newsroom reports.
Latest poll puts NDC’s Baidoo in ‘comfortable lead’ in Akwatia by-election
This latest Sanity Africa poll mirrors findings from a recent survey by Global InfoAnalytics, which also projected victory for Baidoo.
According to Global InfoAnalytics, 53% of voters in the constituency indicated they would back Baidoo, while 47% said they would vote for Asumadu.
That survey gave the NDC candidate a six-point lead heading into the September 2 by-election.
Why Mussa Dankwah is 99% certain the NDC will win Akwatia by-election
See details of the Sanity Africa poll below:
Total registered voters: 52,328
Sample size: 1,568 (≈3% of electorate)
Estimated turnout: 48% (≈25,117 voters)
Polling stations covered: 39 out of 119
Communities covered: 17
Demographic Trends
The findings reveal sharp demographic splits:
Graduates: 82.7% favour Baidoo (NDC) against 17.3% for Asumadu (NPP).
Youth (18–40): 59.6% prefer Asumadu.
Unemployed: 52.7% back Asumadu, reflecting his strong appeal among galamsey-linked communities.
Voters with no formal education: 56% support Asumadu, compared to 44% for Baidoo.
BAI/MA
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