NPP’s Solomon Asumadu (L) to face NDC’s Bernard Baidoo (R) for the Akwatia seat on September 2, 2025

Another poll, this time by Sanity Africa, has projected victory for Bernard B. Baidoo, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate in the Akwatia parliamentary by-election scheduled for Tuesday, September 2, 2025.

The survey, conducted between August 1 and August 27, 2025, shows Baidoo leading with 52.3% support among likely voters.

His closest contender, Solomon Asumadu of the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP), polled 47.7%, just 4.6 percentage points behind Baidoo, with less than three days to the election, Citi Newsroom reports.

Latest poll puts NDC’s Baidoo in ‘comfortable lead’ in Akwatia by-election

This latest Sanity Africa poll mirrors findings from a recent survey by Global InfoAnalytics, which also projected victory for Baidoo.

According to Global InfoAnalytics, 53% of voters in the constituency indicated they would back Baidoo, while 47% said they would vote for Asumadu.

That survey gave the NDC candidate a six-point lead heading into the September 2 by-election.

Why Mussa Dankwah is 99% certain the NDC will win Akwatia by-election

See details of the Sanity Africa poll below:

Total registered voters: 52,328

Sample size: 1,568 (≈3% of electorate)

Estimated turnout: 48% (≈25,117 voters)

Polling stations covered: 39 out of 119

Communities covered: 17

Demographic Trends

The findings reveal sharp demographic splits:

Graduates: 82.7% favour Baidoo (NDC) against 17.3% for Asumadu (NPP).

Youth (18–40): 59.6% prefer Asumadu.

Unemployed: 52.7% back Asumadu, reflecting his strong appeal among galamsey-linked communities.

Voters with no formal education: 56% support Asumadu, compared to 44% for Baidoo.

BAI/MA

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