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    You are at:Home»News»Faulty Intelligence And The Fall Of A Government
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    Faulty Intelligence And The Fall Of A Government

    Papa LincBy Papa LincAugust 10, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read0 Views
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    It has been my humble but unyielding view that the survival and success of any government depend not solely on its policies, political messaging, or economic output, but fundamentally on the agility, dexterity, and credibility of its national security architecture.

    In any functional state, National Security is more than an intelligence-gathering apparatus. It is the watchdog over the Republic, an early-warning system against threats both foreign and domestic, and the invisible armour protecting the legitimacy of governance. Its role is to see before others see, to anticipate before others react, and to shield before harm is done — even at the peril of the lives of its operatives.

    When such a system becomes complicit, complacent, or compromised, the consequences are swift and unforgiving. History teaches us that governments do not often fall solely because of political opposition or public dissatisfaction; they fall when the security structures meant to guard them become ineffective, misled, or negligent.

    The Cost of Faulty Intelligence

    The 2024 general elections in Ghana offer a stark example. The New Patriotic Party (NPP) went into the polls buoyed by intelligence assessments suggesting that the electoral terrain was under control. Those reports — compiled by the very operatives tasked with reading the pulse of the nation — were disastrously inaccurate.

    In the end, it wasn’t just the ballot that undid the government; it was bad intelligence. Critical pockets of voter disaffection were underestimated, key swing demographics were misread, and the reality on the ground diverged wildly from the “secure and favourable” picture painted in briefing rooms. By the time the truth surfaced, it was at the announcement of the results — far too late for a corrective strategy.

    Parallel Intelligence as Insurance

    For this reason, I have long argued that it would be in the interest of any serious regime — regardless of political colour — to maintain parallel intelligence-gathering mechanisms.

    This does not mean undermining the National Security structure. Rather, it means cross-verifying intelligence reports through independent, trusted operatives who can run analysis alongside the official channels. The private sector does it in risk management; the military does it with reconnaissance; a government should do no less when its own survival is at stake.

    Leadership Must Match the Mission

    The quality of leadership at the apex of National Security is non-negotiable. Just as the Attorney General’s Ministry is led by seasoned legal minds, so too should the National Security Council, Ministry of Defence, and Ministry of the Interior be led by individuals with demonstrable security and intelligence acumen.

    It is not enough to appoint political loyalists, however trusted, if they lack a scintilla of security background. Without the technical grasp of counterintelligence, threat assessment, and operational command, such leaders are blindfolded at the helm.

    A government serious about its longevity should consider appointing a career military officer with sharp analytical acumen — not merely parade-ground credentials — to lead its National Security framework. This is not about militarising politics; it is about professionalising protection.

    The Unseen Battle

    Security is not just about fighting terrorists or foiling coups. It is about understanding the undercurrents — economic agitation that could spiral into unrest, external influences shaping local narratives, and policy decisions that create unintended security vulnerabilities.

    The best security systems prevent crises we never hear about. The worst ones allow small sparks to grow into infernos, then scramble for answers when the damage is already done.

    Final Word

    In governance, trust in National Security is trust in survival. Once the watchdog sleeps — whether out of incompetence, compromise, or carelessness — the government it guards becomes prey. Competence, dedication, and vigilance are not luxuries for a security system; they are the air it breathes.

    The lesson is simple and timeless: a government that treats security leadership as a political consolation prize is a government writing its own resignation letter.



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