Election polls live updates: Betting odds reveal Donald Trump’s chances of beating Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris’ chances of winning the election have reached a new low in the betting markets.

The Democratic nominee has dropped below 40 percent in all six betting markets monitored by Real Clear Politics.

The markets include Polymarket and BetOnline.

Republicans have an early lead over Democrats in early voting in the battleground state of Nevada.

Around 700,000 people – half the state’s expected voters – have already cast their ballots.

Registered Republicans have an advantage of 40,000, or 5,7 percent, over registered Democrats.

Jon Ralston, editor of the Nevada Independent, said:

This is a unicorn year. We have never seen this. Still a lot of time but Republicans have reason for confidence with this unprecedented turnout pattern.

It has long been clear to any MAGA fan that Donald Trump curses a heck of a lot, but a New York Times analysis has finally quantified it.

The former president has cursed in public ‘at least 1,787 times’ this year, the paper found. It’s an increase of 69 percent – a pretty darned significant spike – in what some call ‘dishinibation’ associated with aging. The total includes an increased use of the f-word and ‘s***’ which have been creeping into Trump’s remarks, often delighting rally crowds.

That isn’t counting the time last month when Trump used polite language to discuss golf legend Arnold Palmer’s manhood at a rally. There were a total of 43 curses by speakers at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally.

Kamala Harris has used swear words just 10 times in public this year, most often ‘damn’ or ‘hell.’ President Biden regularly curses in speeches – 450 times this year, but all but two were ‘damn’ or ‘hell.’ His most notable swear word came as vice president when he called Obamacare a ‘big f***ing deal.’

Ahead of the 2024 Presidential election, see how Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are really faring among voters with DailyMail.com’s brilliant poll tracker.

Our interactive graphs give invaluable insight into how pollsters are predicting the outcome of the race.

Polls in the last week have seen momentum swing to Trump, but the race is still on a knife-edge and is set to be one of the closest in history.

The winner will ultimately decided in the seven swing states: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona.

The margins in each of the battleground are razor thin, and the next president could be decided by just a few thousand votes.

All of the data used in our analysis comes from Harris versus Trump polls collated by DailyMail.com’s pollsters J.L. Partners and FiveThirtyEight.

Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Kamala Harris has pulled ahead by just one percentage point with one week until the 2024 Election Day.

A new NBC News poll released on Tuesday has the vice president at 48.6 percent compared to Donald Trump’s 47.5 percent in the national race.

But the same polling in the 2016 and 2020 races had the Democratic candidates much further ahead of the former president with Joe Biden having a more than seven point lead in the last election and Hillary Clinton with a 4.6 percent advantage in her matchup with Trump.

The small margin shows just how closely spilt the country is with just seven days until the presidential election.

In the final week of this ‘dead heat’ presidential election, I am reminded of Ronald Reagan’s landslide 1980 victory.

Then as now, President Jimmy Carter was polling neck-and-neck with his Republican challenger.

A Gallup poll showed Carter up one percentage point nationally in late October. Only four days before the vote, a CBS News/New York Times survey showed the race to be just as close.

Then the bottom dropped out of Carter’s campaign – and Reagan won by nearly 10 points in the popular vote, and a staggering 489 to 49 in the Electoral College.

I was a young campaign analyst at the time, but I’d later join Reagan’s vaunted White House political strategy team and we analyzed what drove the landslide.

We discovered thousands of previously overlooked Americans, living in rural and suburban communities — folks who worked 40-hour weeks, lifted the freight, paid the bills and ran the small businesses.

Their voices weren’t regularly heard in the halls of power and didn’t necessarily vote in every election.

They came to be known as ‘The Silent Majority’.

Former first lady Melania Trump spoke to a live audience at Fox and Friends on Tuesday morning with seven days until the election.

She spoke about her book ‘Melania’ and revealed her reaction to critics comparing her husband to Adolf Hitler.

Taking questions from the audience, she also revealed details of where she will be spending election night and her vision for a second term.

Kamala Harris’ rally in Michigan was left in a moment of awkward silence Monday after an unexpected request from the Democratic nominee.

The vice president was making her final stop in Ann Arbor with a packed rally in the college town along with her running mate Tim Walz and singer Maggie Rogers.

At one point in her speech, the crowd began to rhythmically chant her name – ‘Ka-ma-la, Ka-ma-la, Ka-ma-la’ – when Harris made a feeble attempt to turn the tables.

‘Now I want each of you to shout your own name. Do that,’ Harris said with a laugh. ‘Because it’s about all of us.’

Some people began to murmur but the vast majority of people in the crowd went silent in confusion, lowering signs and looking around.

The vice president recovered quickly and continued her speech: ‘I have fought my whole career to put the people first.’

Longtime Donald Trump ally Steve Bannon has been released from prison today after serving a four-month sentence for defying a subpoena in the congressional investigation into the U.S. Capitol attack on Jan. 6, 2021.

Bannon, who is Trump’s former chief strategist, left the Federal Correctional Institution in Danbury, Connecticut, this morning and was greeted by his daughter Maureen, according to The National Pulse.

Maureen confirmed her father’s release re-posting the National Pulse report on social media platform X.

He is set to hold a news conference later in the day in Manhattan and is also expected to resume his podcast today.

The radio host and political agitator was Trump’s campaign manager in the final stages of the 2016 election, having risen from his role at Breitbart to become one of the most influential right-wing voices.

Bannon joined Trump in the White House but fell out with him in spectacular fashion and turned on Trump, but was ultimately pardoned by the former president on the eve of his departure from the White House for loyally insisting that the election was stolen.

Joe Rogan has revealed that Kamala Harris agreed to appear on his podcast, but he refused the conditions suggested by her team.

Rogan, who recently had a three-hour sit down with Republican nominee Donald Trump, says the Harris campaign offered for him to interview the Vice President on Tuesday, but would require him to ‘travel to her’ and ‘only wanted to do an hour’.

‘I strongly feel the best way to do it is in the studio in Austin,’ he revealed Monday night on X. ‘My sincere wish is to just have a nice conversation and get to know her as a human being. I really hope we can make it happen.’

Liberals have urged Harris to have a sit down with Rogan after it emerged that Trump’s interview with the podcaster amassed a staggering 17million YouTube views in less than 24 hours.

By comparison, Harris’ appearance on the Call her Daddy podcast with Alex Cooper has clocked just 685,000 views in the two weeks since it went live.

After the dramatic shake up at the top of the Democratic presidential ticket, Democrats are growing more confident in their ability to hold the White House and Senate and flip the House with Kamala Harris as their presidential nominee.

But two congressional districts could help decide the country’s fate not just at the top of the ticket come November but also both chambers of Congress: Pennsylvania’s eighth congressional district and Nebraska’s second congressional district.

The case for watching these two districts to know where the election is headed was first made by former New York Congressman and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chair Steve Israel.

He wrote in June ‘when the dust settles, the only information you will need in order to conclude who won the 2024 election will be the results of Pennsylvania’s 8th and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District. For the next five months, they are the center of the political universe.’

While the top of the Democratic presidential ticket has changed, the importance of both districts have not.

Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Voters in Michigan are leaning Donald Trump’s way with just one week until Election Day.

Among 1,000 likely voters in the critical swing state, 49 percent say they would vote for Trump compared to the 48.3 percent who would cast their ballots for Vice President Kamala Harris.

It’s also the first time that Trump has pulled ahead of Harris since July, when she took President Joe Biden’s place atop the Democratic presidential ticket.

Regardless of who they support or are voting for, the poll respondents were asked who they expect to win on November 5.

Fifty percent say they think Harris will win and 49 percent say they think the former president will earn another term.

Former President Trump on Monday denied being a Nazi, a day after holding a controversial Madison Square Garden rally where speakers used crude and racist language.

Even before the event, critics including Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris’ running mate Tim Walz, compared it with a 1939 rally by Nazi sympathizers at the same venue.

‘I’m not a Nazi. I’m the opposite of a Nazi,’ Trump told thousands of supporters at Georgia Tech.

‘Now the way they talk is so disgusting and just horrible.’

Trump spent the day in the crucial swing state of Georgia a day after entertaining supporters in New York.

He was prayed over by faith leaders in the state in an emotional moment earlier in the day before rallying up a raucous MAGA crowd.